Tuesday, January 24, 2006

2005 Was a Warm Year

The news is in. Year 2005 was possibly the warmest in 10,000 years by nudging 1998 for the not-so-special honor. Envirowars wonders how the scientists feel they can peg this as the warmest in 10,000 years. And we of course feel that even if it was the warmest, why was it and what caused it? These questions often seem beyond reasonable discourse because global warming is a political concept often unsupported by real science.

It's probably easy to agree that the Earth's not been very warm since the top of the last major ice age, which was not-so-coincidentally 10,000 years ago. Dah. But that's not all. We had a major mini-ice age for a few hundred years in the 19th century. Why is that important? For two reasons.

First, this mini-ice age was ignored by climatologists because it didn't fit their climate models. And second, the fact that there was a recent Northern European ice age, means that warming since then MUST accelerate. And what is our planet doing? It's warming as predicted.

So the climate cooled to a point 10,000 years ago until it started warming. Why? Cars or powerplants? Nah. Just another oscillation in the life of what appears to be a very dynamic planet. Then it warmed for about 9,000 plus years and then cooled for about 500 or so. Now it's warming again for a few hundred.

How does man and his footprint fit in? No thinking person knows. Only political scientists parading as real scientists feel they know. So why does it matter that 2005 was the warmest since the end of the last ice age? It doesn't! It's expected that every century away from an ice age will be warmer than the last, unless it starts cooling again for the short-term or begins cooling toward another ice age. Since the planet is dynamic, it will warm or cool. IT WILL NEVER STAY THE SAME!

So envirowars asks again: Does it matter that 2005 was the warmest in 10,000 years? No! Here are the sites for Goddard and National Climate Data for 2005 temperature assessment. Read them and wonder what it means.

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